XRP Price Prediction: Bullish Signals vs. On-Chain Realities

#XRP

• Technical Crossroads: XRP's price sits below key moving averages but shows MACD bullishness.
• Sentiment Divergence: Optimistic price predictions contrast with collapsing on-chain metrics.
• Regulatory Catalyst: Recent legal wins and token burns may counterbalance technical weaknesses.

XRP Price Prediction

XRP Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst Robert, XRP is currently trading at 2.0698 USDT, slightly below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.1834. The MACD indicator shows a slight bullish crossover with a reading of 0.0241, while the Bollinger Bands suggest a potential range-bound movement between 2.0415 (lower band) and 2.3254 (upper band). Robert notes that a break above the 20-day MA could signal a bullish reversal, but caution is advised given the current volatility.

XRP Market Sentiment: Bullish Hopes Amid Uncertainty

BTCC financial analyst Robert highlights the mixed sentiment surrounding XRP. While headlines like 'XRP Price Prediction 2025: $3.50 Surge Looms' and 'Analyst Predicts XRP Breakout to $8' fuel optimism, on-chain activity has plummeted 80% in five months. Robert cautions that despite regulatory wins and deflationary milestones (14 million tokens burned), the RSI breakdown and network activity decline suggest near-term volatility. The market is at a crossroads, with bullish sentiment clashing with on-chain uncertainties.

Factors Influencing XRP’s Price

XRP's Path to $2.35: Bullish Sentiment Clashes with On-Chain Uncertainty

XRP's social dominance surged to 2.92% as weighted sentiment turned positive for the first time since June, reaching 0.166. Binance traders show overwhelming bullish conviction, with 76.34% maintaining long positions. Yet price action remains constrained below the critical $2.35 resistance level, trapped within a descending wedge pattern.

The cryptocurrency currently stabilizes at $2.14 after bouncing from the $2.00-$2.10 demand zone. A decisive breakout above $2.35 could propel XRP toward $2.60, while rejection risks a retest of $2.00 or lower. On-chain metrics diverge from market optimism, with network value to transactions (NVT) signaling potential overvaluation despite improving sentiment.

XRP Builds Pressure Below $3 As RSI Breakdown Signals Imminent Move

XRP prices have declined by 1.26% over the past week, struggling alongside a broader crypto market attempting to regain bullish momentum. The asset peaked at $2.58 on May 15 before correcting to around $2.06, signaling heightened volatility.

Analyst CasiTrades highlights a critical technical inflection point for XRP, noting a descending triangle pattern and a breakdown in the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This convergence suggests accumulating market pressure, with muted price action likely preceding a decisive move.

The anticipated breakout may first test lower support levels before reversing upward. Market participants are watching for confirmation of this flush-and-fly scenario, which could reignite bullish sentiment for the sixth-largest cryptocurrency.

XRP On-Chain Activity Plummets 80% in Five Months Amid Divergent Analyst Views

XRP's network growth has stalled dramatically, with new wallet creations collapsing by 80% since January 2025. Glassnode data reveals daily address generation dwindling from 30,000 at November 2024's peak to barely 2,000-5,000 by mid-June 2025, paralleling the token's failure to sustain its near-$3 rally.

Daily active addresses tell a similar story—plunging 94% from 577,000 to 34,000. The Coin Bureau analyst interprets this as signaling dim prospects for revisiting $3, while contrarians argue the metrics overlook institutional accumulation during low-retail-participation phases.

Price action reflects the uncertainty, with XRP oscillating around $2 as bulls and bears clash over whether the on-chain drought precedes a renaissance or prolonged stagnation. Market watchers note the divergence mirrors 2021's consolidation before XRP's last major breakout.

XRP Ledger Hits Deflationary Milestone with 14 Million Tokens Burned Amid Surging Activity

The XRP Ledger has incinerated over 14 million XRP tokens through its transaction-based burn mechanism, reaching a record 14,003,265 XRP destroyed according to blockchain tracker XRPScan. This deflationary feature, designed to combat spam and gradually reduce supply, coincides with unprecedented network usage.

Daily active addresses have skyrocketed to 295,000 from just 35,000-40,000 months prior, while wallets holding 1+ million XRP breached 2,700 for the first time in the ledger's 12-year history. Santiment data confirms this parabolic growth in fundamental usage.

Despite bullish on-chain signals, XRP faces volatility at $2.13 - a 300% surge from pre-November 2024 levels. Glassnode warns of profit-taking at $68.8 million daily, testing the critical $2 support. A hold above the 50-day SMA at $2.27 could stabilize prices, while $2.65 may trigger renewed bullish momentum.

XRP Network Activity Plummets Amid Market Correction

XRP faces mounting bearish pressure as on-chain metrics reveal a dramatic decline in network activity. Daily new addresses on the XRP Ledger have collapsed 80% since January 2025, plummeting from 30,000 to fewer than 5,000. This erosion of user growth correlates strongly with XRP's 10% price decline to $2.13 during the recent crypto market downturn.

Glassnode data illustrates a telling pattern: the late 2024 surge in wallet creation coincided with XRP's rally to $2.71, while the subsequent slowdown precipitated the current downward trend. Analysts now question the feasibility of XRP's $3 price target given these network fundamentals.

The divergence between optimistic market sentiment and deteriorating on-chain health presents a critical challenge for XRP's recovery. As Coin Bureau's analysis suggests, without renewed network growth, the altcoin may struggle to regain its bullish momentum.

XRP's Daily RSI Trendline Breakdown Signals Potential Price Volatility

XRP's Relative Strength Index (RSI) has broken beneath a critical trendline that had been tracking higher lows since early April, according to an analysis by crypto chartist CasiTrades. This breakdown suggests a weakening of short-term momentum, despite the token's price holding above the key $2.13 Fibonacci level.

The RSI's tightening wedge pattern, mirroring the price action's symmetrical triangle compression, often precedes volatility expansions. Analysts warn this could lead to a sharp sweep of major support levels before any reversal. Market participants are watching closely for signs of whether this technical breakdown will translate into a broader bearish trend.

Why XRP Could Be the Surprise Winner of Q2

XRP is quietly building bullish momentum as the broader crypto market drifts sideways. Traders are eyeing a potential rally, with liquidity clusters around $2.20 acting as a magnet for price action. At press time, XRP trades at $2.14, just 2.8% below this critical level.

Liquidation heatmaps reveal concentrated interest at $2.20, suggesting a high probability of stop orders triggering and new positions opening. The decline in Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) further supports the bullish case, with a 30-day moving average now at 70.27 million—down 11% over the past week.

When NPL dips into negative territory, it signals that more holders are moving coins at a loss, often preceding a rebound. XRP’s technical and on-chain metrics align for a potential breakout, making it a dark horse for Q2 performance.

XRP Price Prediction 2025: $3.50 Surge Looms Amid Regulatory Breakthroughs

XRP's trajectory toward $3.50 by 2025 gains credibility as regulatory hurdles dissipate. The cryptocurrency, now trading NEAR $2.16, finds momentum in two critical developments: a potential $50 million SEC settlement and growing speculation about ETF approvals. Market technicians note a long-term triangle pattern targeting $3.32, with institutional interest poised to accelerate upon resolution of Ripple's legal saga.

The SEC's anticipated reduction of Ripple's penalty to $50 million marks a pivotal inflection point. Regulatory clarity could unlock institutional participation, mirroring the capital inflows seen following Bitcoin and ethereum ETF launches. Analysts observe that XRP's technical structure and fundamental catalysts align—a rare convergence that often precedes significant price appreciation.

XRP Price Analysis: Regulatory Wins Fuel Rally Amid Technical Caution

XRP maintains a bullish stance above $2, trading at $2.13 with a 300% surge since November 2024. Yet, technical indicators flash warning signs—a bearish engulfing pattern near the $2.15 resistance and weakening MACD momentum suggest potential consolidation. Profit-taking by early investors totals $68.8 million daily, adding downward pressure.

Institutional Optimism counters short-term weakness. Canada's 3iQ and Purpose Investments have launched XRP ETFs, with the latter set to debut June 18 on the Toronto Stock Exchange. The SEC's comment period for U.S.-based XRP ETF proposals signals growing regulatory acceptance, potentially cementing XRP's role in mainstream finance.

Analyst Predicts XRP Breakout to $8 Amid Prolonged Consolidation

Crypto analyst Cantonese Cat has ignited bullish sentiment around XRP, suggesting the digital asset is primed for a significant breakout. During a June 15 livestream, the analyst dismissed XRP's seven-month sideways trading as accumulation rather than stagnation, pointing to key technical indicators that signal impending volatility.

The chartist emphasized XRP's persistent testing of a monthly Gann arc resistance level since late 2024, interpreting this as building energy for a parabolic move. "This thing has been going sideways for seven months," Cantonese Cat observed, "but the entire time, it's just hugging this GAN line." His analysis suggests a clean break above current resistance could propel XRP to between $6 and $8, based on Fibonacci extension targets aligning with the next Gann arc level.

Further bolstering the bullish case, the analyst highlighted XRP's breach of the monthly Ichimoku Cloud—a traditionally significant technical milestone. The prolonged consolidation near key support levels, combined with these technical breakthroughs, paints a picture of coiled potential rather than market indifference.

XRP Saves the Day? Influencer Released After Kidnappers Pity His Wallet

A 26-year-old cryptocurrency influencer and TikTok content creator was kidnapped in France last weekend, with captors demanding crypto for his release. The situation took an unexpected turn when the kidnappers, reportedly unimpressed by the victim's XRP holdings, released him out of pity.

The incident underscores the bizarre intersection of crime and cryptocurrency culture. While details remain scarce, the case highlights the risks faced by public figures in the digital asset space—and the occasional absurdity of crypto-related crime.

Is XRP a good investment?

BTCC analyst Robert provides a balanced perspective on XRP's investment potential:

Robert suggests that while technical indicators show potential for a rally (especially if regulatory momentum continues), the drastic drop in network activity and RSI volatility warrant careful risk management. XRP could surprise in Q2, but investors should weigh bullish price targets ($3.50–$8) against the current lack of transactional demand.